NC State Economist Mike Walden – “Mid-Year Economic Forecast”
Mary: I’m Mary Walden with economist MW welcoming you to the economic perspective. Today’s program looks at the mid-year economic forecast. Mike, we’re now in the second half of 2014, and it’s time for economists like you to update their forecasts. I know you recently did this in your biannual North Carolina Economic Outlook. What does your crystal ball show for the economy over the next six months?
Mike: Summary Answer
- Always a mix of pluses and minuses
- On plus side – see continued growth with jobs being added
- Note: headline unemployment rate may not fall as discouraged workers come back into the labor market
- On negative side – hourly pay not rising
- Many households still have not recovered and aren’t confident
- Housing market still hasn’t “taken off” – keeping a lid on construction jobs
- Inflation may be a tab higher
- I’m MW
Mary: And I’m Mary Walden for the North Carolina Cooperative Extension Service